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Status: Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 211
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The currency has always traded currency pairs, for example, EUR / USD (euro / dollar.) All trades are the purchase of one currency into another. The first currency in the pair is called the base currency. Base currency is one that provides the basis for buying or selling. Think of the currency pair as an instrument to be bought or sold. Do you buy or euros or U.S. dollars in any case.
The following are a few scenarios that help explain these couples and how to think in terms of currency: EUR / USD BUY if the U.S. securities market must continue to bear market and the euro will go up against the U.S. dollar. Sales in the event that you would expect Wall Street to recover and the U.S. dollar to rise against the euro. USD / JPY BUY if you expect the yen will soon be eased in support of the Japanese trade. Sales in the event that the Japanese equity withdrew U.S. financial markets to make stronger investments in their own homes. GBP / USD BUY growth in the event that Britain would continue to lead the G7 nations. Selling, if you believe that the British are about to adopt the euro, expecting a weakening pound against the U.S. dollar, as the devaluation in anticipation of the merger. USD / CHF BUY Swiss francs, if you believe that the impact of international instability is an overstatement. Selling, if you believe that conservative investors will be seeking from traditional areas, such as Switzerland, as a hedge against weakness in the U.S. economy. EUR / CHF BUY if you expect that the Swiss government to devalue the currency to accelerate exports to Europe. Sales in the event that inflation takes hold in Germany and France, increasing the value of the Swiss franc against the euro. AUD / USD BUY when world commodity prices are going to increase the commodity-based export market in Australia. Sales in the event that the Australian economy shows signs of recession or unfavorable trade imbalances appear. USD / CAD BUY if the U.S. economy will rebound faster than Canada. Sales in the event that the Canadian dollar is fundamentally undervalued against the dollar. NZD / USD BUY if you believe that the popularity of "The Lord of the Rings" films will increase revenues from tourism. Sales in the event that you would expect the uncertainty to continue declining international tourism industry. EUR / GBP BUY, if you believe that Britain is about to adopt the euro, expecting a weakening pound, as it devalued before the merger. Selling, if you believe that the UK economy will grow faster than the European Union as a whole. EUR / JPY BUY if the Japanese banking crisis will worsen. Sales in the event that you think is happening in Europe on the decline, expecting the euro to fall against the yen. GBP / JPY BUY if the Bank of England will raise interest rates. Sales in the event that the Nikkei index is about to surpass FTSE. CHF / JPY BUY if you believe that international instability resulting spike in oil prices, affecting dependent on imports of Japanese economy. Sales in the event that you would expect of regional conflicts would lead to lower oil prices, which makes Japanese markets more attractive than the conservative Swiss francs. GBP / CHF BUY if you expect Bank of England to raise rates. Selling, if you believe that the British are about to adopt the euro, expecting a weaker pound sterling against the Swiss franc, as it devalued in anticipation of the merger. EUR / AUD BUY if Australia heading towards recession. Sales in the event that you would expect in world commodity prices are going to increase dramatically. T H E F U T U R E O F M A R K E T I N G
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